Time origin:
t = days since 2019-05-08
,
the Zano genesis date.
Goodness of fit:
R² is computed in log-price space because that is the space in which the power-law regression is linear.
The chart's ±1σ, ±2σ and ±3σ corridors use the standard deviation of
εᵢ = ln(Pᵢ/P̂ᵢ)
.
That means every corridor is a constant multiple of fair value rather than a fixed dollar distance.
Important: This is an empirical curve fit, not evidence that ZANO must obey a power law. A shorter history, changing liquidity, market structure, and regime shifts can materially change β, α and the bands.
| Fit window | |
|---|---|
| Observations | |
| α (log intercept) | |
| A = e^α | |
| β (exponent) | |
| R², log space | |
| RMSE, log space | |
| Mean abs. % error | |
| Median abs. % error | |
| Residual 5% / 50% / 95% |
| Date | −2σ | −1σ | Fair | +1σ | +2σ |
|---|